Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.627003 0.816162 1.030562 1.288357 1.586751 1.918276 2.311424
2025-03-16 0.361111 0.588664 0.883181 1.277345 1.776525 2.374104 3.129821
2025-03-23 0.235693 0.481815 0.842487 1.370752 2.088010 2.994282 4.191941
2025-03-30 0.148370 0.389813 0.791737 1.431984 2.355379 3.575027 5.243718
2025-04-06 0.087686 0.308759 0.730489 1.459264 2.569582 4.093641 6.240350
2025-04-13 0.043887 0.228293 0.642107 1.422583 2.679215 4.469354 7.060426
2025-04-20 0.022293 0.179524 0.593023 1.435309 2.854948 4.938000 8.017377
2025-04-27 0.010205 0.141823 0.551338 1.449487 3.027605 5.404265 8.982146
2025-05-04 0.002927 0.101785 0.485480 1.403780 3.094125 5.712508 9.730937
2025-05-11 0.000375 0.070339 0.423379 1.350071 3.136762 5.980490 10.424741
2025-05-18 0.000009 0.053561 0.394238 1.357425 3.281224 6.405273 11.352508
2025-05-25 NaN 0.036038 0.348107 1.316083 3.332055 6.682471 12.068261
2025-06-01 NaN 0.031390 0.352335 1.396437 3.616272 7.346943 13.386937
2025-06-08 NaN 0.022135 0.325772 1.395918 3.748410 7.772871 14.362050
2025-06-15 NaN 0.020466 0.339395 1.501135 4.089251 8.547796 15.879652
2025-06-22 NaN 0.017113 0.339330 1.569492 4.361403 9.217489 17.251004
2025-06-29 NaN 0.012799 0.326525 1.600234 4.560068 9.770690 18.455139
2025-07-06 NaN 0.007455 0.292324 1.562051 4.616110 10.086246 19.299886
2025-07-13 NaN 0.004908 0.276950 1.576069 4.778247 10.583075 20.431785
2025-07-20 NaN 0.003103 0.263100 1.591415 4.942492 11.085899 21.579503
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001266 0.232291 1.542822 4.965806 11.345379 22.349534
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000334 0.201921 1.485596 4.963936 11.558300 23.047385
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000102 0.190183 1.493476 5.106274 12.027025 24.157668